About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Showing posts with label financials. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financials. Show all posts
Wednesday 5 August 2015
Bear Market ETF's to Consider for 2017 and Beyond
Labels:
bear market,
emerging market,
etf,
financials,
inverse,
nasdaq,
russell,
S and P 500,
ultra short
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
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Market Insight
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Weyerhaeuser (WY) to Release Earnings on Thursday - Weyerhaeuser (NYSE:WY – Get Free Report) will be issuing its quarterly earnings data after the market closes on Thursday, April 25th. Analysts expect the c...1 hour ago
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The Rise And Fall Of ESG - ESG assesses firms on multiple dimensions as opposed to profits only. Conservatives see it as woke capitalism and fossil fuel supporters see it as a climat...1 hour ago
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Nvidia's High-End Chips Ended Up In Chinese Hands Despite US Ban: Here's How Beijing Scored Them - Despite the U.S. expanding its ban on the sale of such technology to China in November, ten Chinese entities successfully acquired advanced Nvidia chips....1 hour ago
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Three Stocks: Gold, Super Micro Computer, and Riot Platforms - Three Stocks: Gold, Super Micro Computer, and Riot Platforms Gold Gold (GLD) prices dropped by 2.4% today, the largest drop in more than two years. Shares ...10 hours ago
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Market Talk – April 22, 2024 - ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 increased 370.26 points or 1.00% to 37,438.61 Shanghai decreased 20.67 points or ...10 hours ago
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S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 27.19 +0.24 (0.87%) 4:00 PM EDT, Mon Apr 2210 hours ago
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Is the 'Housing Shortage' the Result of Housing-Hoarding by the Wealthy? - *Those seeking to buy a house as shelter for their household can't compete with the wealthy seeking assets to snap up and hoard for appreciation. * *Longt...12 hours ago
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Monday links: not-so average years - Markets - Commodities are having a standout 2024. (capitalspectator.com) - When did investing become so political? (economist.com) ETFs - G...13 hours ago
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Alienating Tesla Buyers by the Cybertruck-load - @TBPInvictus here: Back in December 2022, I hypothesized that Elon Musk’s antics and his newfound desire to own the Libs were going to destroy Tesla’...15 hours ago
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State revenue from death and gift taxes : One of these things is not so certain anymore - Estate taxes are commonly called “death taxes” because they’re levied on the value of everything you own at the time of death. Only estates valued above a ...17 hours ago
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Market Video - Subscriber content. To sign up to Market Videos please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. Market videos are published 2-3 times a month reviewing...19 hours ago
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The 2 Biggest Dividend Investing Pitfalls to Avoid - A better way to retirement is out there aside from dividends. Chief Market Technician Mike Carr will show you the way. The post The 2 Biggest Dividend In...20 hours ago
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Debt Rattle April 22 2024 - Wassily Kandinsky Contrasting Sounds 1924 • Biden Asks Americans To Choose Between Freedom And Democracy (RT) • Mobilization Law Condition For New Supp...22 hours ago
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Billions of cicadas are about to emerge from underground in a rare double-brood convergence – Cooley & Simon - Billions of cicadas are about to emerge from underground in a rare double-brood convergence Cicadas climb up a tree at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C....1 day ago
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“Weekend At Bernie’s Economy”: Joe Biden, Seeking Another Term, Wheels Out The Corpse Of The U.S. Economy - When I was a kid, “Weekend at Bernie’s” was one of my all-time favorite movies. In that film, two guys worked really hard to convince everyone that thei...1 day ago
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Long Awaited - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post Long Awaited appeared firs...2 days ago
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Total Number of Stocks Is Shrinking - [image: total number of nyse nasdaq issues traded] The major averages may still be trending higher, but the total numbers of issues traded on the NYSE an...4 days ago
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S&P 500 Yearly & Quarterly Pivot Levels | April - June 2024 - First week of January breached Yearly Mid Resistance Level 1 (YMR1) at 4,781 to the upside. March consolidated above Yearly Resistance Level 1 (YR1). April...4 days ago
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How Investors Can Seize Opportunities in NVDA Amid Market Volatility - According to Todd Gordon, the founder of Inside Edge Capital, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a strong buy despite a recent pullback. The chart analyst also s...4 days ago
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Unveiling the Golden Opportunity: Maximizing Profits with GLD - Are you ready to seize the golden opportunity in trading? In our last analysis, we forecasted a monumental breakout in the gold market, and the results h...1 week ago
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Get More Out of Your Trades: Dukascopy Bank SA Cuts Withdrawal Fees - Dukascopy Bank SA would like to announce the reduction of withdrawal transfer fees on trading products, as follows: *Old fees* *New reduced fees* 3.5 EUR...3 weeks ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...1 month ago
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Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications - In the context of valuing companies, and sharing those valuations, I do get suggestions from readers on companies that I should value next. While I d...2 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!2 months ago
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Teaching Johns Hopkins A Privilege Lesson - by Not Sure01/12/24Johns Hopkins Hospital Chief Diversity Officer Sherita Hill Golden sent a letter out essentially implying that all people who don’t look...3 months ago
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Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...4 months ago
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If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.6 months ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and it remains to be seen if all my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. If my writing on economi...9 months ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
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Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.1 year ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...1 year ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...1 year ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...2 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...2 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...2 years ago
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The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.2 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
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Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
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November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...3 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...3 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...3 years ago
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Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...3 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...3 years ago
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
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One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
4 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...4 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
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A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
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Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...6 years ago
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Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...6 years ago
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Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
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Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...7 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...14 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD attracts some sellers below $27.00 amid risk-on mood - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com45 minutes ago
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FX Watch: Is the Trend Still Our Friend on GBP/USD? - I’m seeing a steady short-term downtrend on the hourly chart of GBP/USD, and it looks like a pullback is happening. Will the upcoming flash PMI reports a...1 hour ago
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Market Insights Podcast – BOJ, AU inflation, US PCE and US Magnificent 7 stocks earnings in the focus - OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week’s key economic data and events. Firstly, Australia’s monthly CPI (March) out ...5 hours ago
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Risk Sentiment Snapshot: Gold, Silver and S&P 500 Price Trends - Risk sentiment has improved at the start of the week, seeing notable moves across typically risk sensitive assets in a week when US data and tech earnings ...10 hours ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...12 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
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Buy HDFC Life Insurance Company; target of Rs 739: ICICI Securities - [image: Buy HDFC Life Insurance Company; target of Rs 739: ICICI Securities] ICICI Securities is bullish on HDFC Life Insurance Company has recommended buy...19 minutes ago
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OFSS HERO MOTO VOLTAS Darvas Box Analysis - OFSS Positional Traders can use the below mentioned levels Close above 7569 Target 8000 Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels Buy above ...4 hours ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.10 months ago
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ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...2 years ago
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
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Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
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Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...6 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...6 years ago
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Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...7 years ago
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Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...7 years ago
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Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...7 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.